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Mathematics 483, Mathematical Models in Finance and Investments, Fall 2014

Illinois State University Mathematics Department

Instructors

Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA, Consulting Actuary, Pinnacle Actuarial Resources. E-mail: AHillebrandt@pinnacleactuaries.com.

Dr. Krzysztof Ostaszewski, FSA, CERA, FSAS, CFA, MAAA, Actuarial Program Director
Office: Stevenson Hall room 313G. Office telephone: 309-438-7226, office fax: 309-438-5866. E-mail: krzysio@ilstu.edu

Dr. Wei Hao, FSA, CFA, MAAA, Actuary, State Farm Insurance Companies. E-mail: wei.hao.pc3n@statefarm.com.

Classes Meet

Tuesdays and Thursdays 6:00-7:50 p.m. (with a ten minute break), in Stevenson Hall, room 310.

Office Hours

Office hours will be held Tuesdays and Thursdays 5:00 p.m.– 5:50 p.m., in Stevenson Hall room 313G, by Dr. Krzysztof Ostaszewski. Please ask for an appointment at other times. Appointments with Dr. Krzysztof Ostaszewski should be scheduled at: http://krzysio.acuityscheduling.com.

Textbooks

The following textbooks are suggested, but not required:

• Financial Risk Management for Pension Plans by Leslaw Gajek and Krzysztof Ostaszewski, Elsevier Science, 2004. This book is on reserve at the Milner Library at Illinois State University and on reserve at the library of the Department of Mathematics.

• Financial Economics, edited by Harry Panjer, published in 1998 by the Actuarial Foundation. This book is on reserve at the Milner Library at Illinois State University.

There will also be study notes provided online by Dr. Krzysztof Ostaszewski (you must use the ISU ULID with your password to access them, and you are only granted access if you are registered in this class). We will also use study notes and problems from past actuarial examinations on investments, as well as other readings on topics of those past exam examinations. Links to those readings will be posted at the bottom of this syllabus, after the schedule of classes. All study notes, practice exercises, practice exams, and readings are also available at Reggienet.

Objective

The objective of this class is to help you learn about mathematical models in finance and investments, as utilized in the management as well as financial supervision of insurance enterprises and other financial intermediaries.

Grading

There will be a total of five tests. Any of the comprehensive tests (as indicated in the schedule) can count as a final. Because there will be so many opportunities for testing and only the best four test scores will affect the class grade, no make-up tests will be offered. The final will count as 40% of your grade, and the best two of the remaining tests will count as 30% of your grade each. You will also receive up to 10% extra credit for the best of the remaining tests. The grading scale for will be as follows: 90% or better — A, 80% to 90% — B, 70% to 80% — C, 60% to 70% — D, below 60% — F. Links to past professional actuarial examinations are provided below, and those professional examinations should serve as a guidance of what kind of material students can expect on the tests. However, the tests in this class will be quantitative only, no essay questions will be given. Even though questions will be quantitative only, students are encouraged to explain their work thoroughly. Students will also have an opportunity to earn extra creditby making presentations in class on the readings given in the syllabus(see the bottom of this web site) and past advanced actuarial examinations on the topics of this class (also see below). Those presentations must be set well in advance with Dr. Ostaszewski, and presentations scheduled at the last minuted before the end of the semester may be denied.

Important dates

Illinois State University withdrawal information for the Fall 2014 semester is given at this web site: http://www.registrar.ilstu.edu/registration/withdrawal/fall.shtml.

Disability concerns

Illinois State University provides a welcoming atmosphere for individuals with disabilities by assisting each in functioning independently within the University community and providing equal access and opportunity in accomplishing educational, professional and personal goals. Disability Concerns, a unit of the Student Affairs Division,  is the designated office to provide approved accommodation services for students, faculty, staff, and guests with disabilities. Disability Concerns obtains and maintains documentation of disability, certifies eligibility for services, determines reasonable accommodations, and develops plans for providing such accommodations. This is accomplished in a confidential manner to ensure equal opportunity for participation in all courses, programs, activities and employment offered by Illinois State University. Please contact the Disability Concerns in Fell Hall room 350, tel.  309-438-5853 (Voice), 309-438-8620 (TTY), web site: http://www.disabilityconcerns.ilstu.edu/, if you have needs that can be accommodate by that office.

Schedule of classes

  • Tuesday, August 19, 2014. Overview of assets, liabilities and capital of financial intermediaries and regulatory supervision of them.
  • Thursday, August 21, 2014. Review of derivatives securities, Ito’s Lemma, and Black-Scholes Equation. Role of derivative securities in financial intermediaries.
  • Tuesday, August 26, 2014. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt. Financial Assets. Some additional files to study:
    • Overview. Assets examples  Whole Life Generic Overview. Financial assets and how they are traded (Powerpoint file). Trading on margin (Powerpoint file)
  • Thursday, August 28, 2014. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA. Derivative Securities. Section 7.3 in first texbook.
  • Tuesday, September 2, 2014. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA. Derivative Securities. Section 7.3 in first texbook.
  • Thursday, September 4, 2014. This class is moved to September 5, 2014, at 1:05 p.m. in STV 310. The class on September 5 will last three fifty minutes periods and will cover September 4 and half of September 9 class. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA. Derivative Securities. Section 7.3 in first texbook. Some additional files to study: Derivative Securities (Powerpoint file). Calculations of prices of forwards and options (Excel file). Arbitrage examples (Word file).
  • Monday, September 8, 2014, 7:00 p.m.: Special class to replace half of September 9 class and the entire September 11 class.
  • Tuesday, September 9, 2014. This class is partly moved to September 5 and partly to September 8. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA. Equilibrium Pricing. Sections 7.1.2, 7.1.3 in first textbook.
  • Thusday, September 11, 2014. This class is moved to September 8. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA. Equilibrium Pricing. Sections 7.1.2, 7.1.3 in first textbook.
  • Tuesday, September 16, 2014. This class will be replaced by the Meet the Firms event. An additional class devoted to presentations of readings by students may be scheduled later.
  • Thursday, September 18, 2014. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA. Equilibrium Pricing. Sections 7.1.2, 7.1.3 in first textbook. Some additional files to study: Equilibrium Pricing (Powerpoint file). Utility functions (Excel file).
  • Tuesday, September 23, 2014. Test No. 1, on the material covered through September 18, 2014.
  • Thursday, September 25, 2014. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA. Options and Other Derivatives.
  • Tuesday, September 30, 2014. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA.. Options and Other Derivatives.
  • Thursday, October 2, 2014. Class taught by Mr. Aaron Hillebrandt, FCAS, MAAA. Options and Other Derivatives. Some additional files to study: Role of Interest Rate Derivative Securities.
  • Tuesday, October 7, 2014. No-Arbitrage Pricing Theory. Sections 7.1.4, 7.1.5, 7.2 in first textbook.
  • Thursday, October 9, 2014. No-Arbitrage Pricing Theory. Sections 7.1.4, 7.1.5, 7.2 in first textbook.
  • Monday, October 13, 2014. 1:30 p.m. — 3:20 p.m. in STV 310. A special extra class for student presentations, and also to make up for devoting Septemnber 16 class to the Meet the Firms event.
  • Tuesday, October 14, 2014. This class is rescheduled to November 19, 2014.
  • Thursday, October 16, 2014. Special presentation on catastrophe modeling by Ms. Minchong Mao, FCAS, ASA, MAAA, Catastrophe Modeling Manager at State Farm Insurance Companies. This class will be held in Stevenson Hall room 401 and it will be an event of the Actuarial Program.
  • Tuesday, October 21, 2014. Class taught by Dr. Wei Hao, FSA, CFA, MAAA. Interest Rate Risk and Immunization. Chapter 9 in first textbook.
  • Thursday, October 23, 2014. Class taught by Dr. Wei Hao, FSA, CFA, MAAA. Interest Rate Risk and Immunization. Chapter 9 in first textbook.
  • Tuesday, October 28, 2014. Class taught by Dr. Wei Hao, FSA, CFA, MAAA. Interest Rate Risk and Immunization. Chapter 9 in first textbook.
  • Thursday, October 30. 2014. Introduction to Enterprise Risk Management. Additional reading: Presentation of Dr. Kevin Ahlgrim, ASA, at the 2006 ISU Actuarial Program Research Event. Another reading on ERM.
  • Tuesday, November 4, 2014. Value at Risk. Also, another version of Value at Risk notes is here. Theory of capital for insurance firms: Expected Policyholder Deficit. Coherent Risk Measures. Risk-Based Capital in the U.S. insurance regulation.
  • Thursday, November 6, 2014. Theory of capital for insurance firms: Myers & Read on Capital Allocation for Insurance Companies. Cummins on Capital Allocation for Insurance Companies. Risk-Adjusted Performance Measurement for Insurance Companies. This class will not be held in a regular way, but only available for presentations, and a class on November 21, 2014 will replace it.
  • Tuesday, November 11, 2014. Test No. 2, on the material covered through October 16, 2014.
  • Thursday, November 13, 2014. Special presentation on asset-liability management in practice at State Farm Insurance by Dr. Wei Hao, FSA, CFA, MAAA.This class will be held in Stevenson Hall room 401 and it will be an event of the Actuarial Program.
  • Tuesday, November 18, 2014. Solvency II and Swiss Solvency Test. More files on these topics Solvency II vs. Swiss Solvency Test. Swiss Solvency Test White Paper. Swiss Solvency Template, Swiss Solvency Test Reading 1. Com Frame and systemic risk. Exercises for preparation for the remaining class tests. Risk-Based Capital Exercises.
  • Wednesday, November 19, 2014, 12:00 noon — 1:00 p.m. in STV 220 and 3:00-4:00 p.m. in STV 310. Special class for student presentations and review.
  • Thursday, November 20, 2014. Insurance Securitization. Shortfall Constraints. Sections 10.1.1, 10.1.3 in first textbook.
  • Friday, November 21, 2014, 12:00 noon — 1:00 p.m. in STV 308 and 3:00-4:00 p.m. in STV 310. Special class for student presentations and review.
  • Tuesday, December 2, 2014. Test No. 3, comprehensive.
  • Thursday, December 4, 2014. Test No. 4, comprehensive.
  • Tuesday, December 9, 2014, 5:30 — 7:30 p.m., Test No. 5, comprehensive.

Past actuarial examinations on topics of this class include Society of Actuaries exams APM/APMV, AFE, FETE, Course 6 (2000-2006), and Course 8V (2000-2006), and Casualty Actuarial Society exams 7 and 9, as well as exam 8 (2000-2010). You may want to consult these exams posted at these societies’ web sites for practice problems, and another sources of possible extra credit presentations in class (to be confirmed with Dr. Ostaszewski).

All information contained here is, to our best knowledge, correct, but it is merely a representation, and should not be considered to be any form of professional advice. This electronic publication should not be misconstrued as the official position of Illinois State University, or its Department of Mathematics. We are glad to provide as much information as possible here, but we kindly ask that in any decision related to matters listed here you seek additional counsel and information. Comments on this Home Page are welcome and should be sent to Dr. Krzysztof Ostaszewski  at his e-mail address: krzysio@ilstu.edu.

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